Monday, September 26, 2011

who cares..?

The Poverty Of Estimates

By Devinder Sharma

26 September, 2011
Ground Reality

Everyone seems upset. Ironically, more upset with the definition of the poverty line and the criteria that has now become the butt of a national joke, are the economists and of course some members of the high-profile National Advisory Council. They have been doing the rounds of the TV channels expressing dismay at the threshold of what Planning Commission constitutes as the poverty line.

I was amused watching them express their concerns. In many ways it is like shedding crocodile tears. Amused because these were the same people who were either responsible for drafting the poverty line or were in a way the silent spectators. They had never challenged the 'below the poverty line' (BPL) criteria. Perhaps by remaining quiet or turning a blind eye to the gross injustice being perpetuated by the planners on country's vast army of poor and downtrodden, these economists stood to gain. I see no other reason why the entire community of economists had silently been using the same fraudulent BPL norms that they now find fault with (believe it or not, some of the most distinguished names are associated with the formulation of the poverty line).

This is what constitutes conspiracy of silence.

I have no hesitation in saying that the entire controversy following the questioning of the BPL norms by the Supreme Court has actually brought the economist class into disgrace. For nearly 50 years, they had not only prepared but also backed a bogus poverty estimate. They went on using the same useless poverty estimates into all their economic analysis. I wonder with such a faulty foundation what kind of analysis these economists must have produced. How reliable is their analysis, perhaps we will get to know provided the Supreme Court now gets into questioning the merits of the econometric analysis (that uses the poverty data) has been churned out in volumes over the years.

I have also keenly followed many of the quick news analysis that many economists and others have written. This was expected. The best way to overcome your guilt is to paint a picture that show how pained you are now to know that Planning Commission's poverty line for urban areas is Rs 31/day and Rs 25/day for the rural areas. If you are earning more than this, you are above the poverty line. In reality, this estimate is nothing but a revised estimate based on the current prices. Otherwise, Tendulkar committee had earlier drawn a line of Rs 19 per day for the urban areas and Rs 14 for the rural areas. The parameters that go into defining this BPL criteria remain the same. (Spend Rs 32 a day? Govt says you can't be poor Times of India Sept 21, 2011 http://bit.ly/qMWYRc).

In an interesting piece Playing with numbers, and lives (Indian Express, Sept 23, 2011) Rajya Sabha MP Brinda Karat writes: "The National Advisory Council, headed by Sonia Gandhi, had in its draft also included a clause that 'identification will be based on the criteria notified by the Central government'. One wonders whether the veteran activists who were part of the drafting committee in NAC were unaware of the poverty line which at the stage of their drafting was even lower than the Rs 26 line they are so articulately criticising today." She is referring to the public outcry being made by Aruna Roy, Jean Derez and N C Saxena.

I have always considered India's poverty line to be actually a starvation line. For over a decade now, I have been questioning the wisdom of fixing a stringent poverty line in which you can't even feed a dog. How can a human being survive in that amount? But believe me, none of the economists or NAC members (I am not sure of there is an exception) ever stood up to pose the same questions. They were very happy following the poverty prescription laid out. They obviously stood the gain by not questioning the poverty norms.

I have been asked as to what I think should be the way to determine real poverty. You can read what I had to say when the NAC came up with what I consider is yet another faulty path to removing hunger (Path to hell they say is paved with good intentions.http://bit.ly/iB2HDj). I also draw your attention to another article How to keep poverty low http://bit.ly/o60BsA. In my opinion, what India needs is not one poverty line. We need two lines: Poverty Line (what Arjun Sengupta committee worked out at 77 per cent population unable to spend more than Rs 20 a day), and an Antyodaya Line comprising 37.2 per cent of the population (which incidentally is the present poverty line).

the Hippocratic capitalism

Hypocrisy Of The ‘Poverty Line’: Seven Times
Below The Stipulated Minimum wage!

By Peoples Union for Democratic Rights

26 September, 2011
PUDR wishes to draw public attention to the recent controversy where Planning Commission informed the Supreme Court that anyone earning more than Rs 32 in urban and Rs 26 in rural areas per day is considered above the poverty line. Article 43 of India’s Constitution lays down that “(t)he state shall endeavour to secure by suitable legislation or economic organisation or in any other way to all workers, agricultural, industrial or otherwise, work, a living wage conditions of work ensuring a decent standard of life and full enjoyment of leisure and social and cultural opportunities”. India’s low ranking in major human development indices and the fact that an overwhelming majority of the population continue to be denied this conceptualisation of what would be considered a “fair wage”, raises disturbing questions with regard to the official standpoint on poverty.

In 1957 at the 15th Indian Labour Conference (ILC) moves were made towards setting down norms for fixing Minimum Wage, a euphemism for a “living wage.’’ The 15th ILC recommended that in the first place the standard working class family should be taken to mean husband, wife and two children below the age of 14 yrs. Second, minimum food requirement should be calculated on the basis of 2700 calories daily per adult man, 2160 for woman and 1620 for the child. Further clothing requirement of 72 yards for a family per annum would be added while housing allowance corresponding to the minimum area provided for under the governments industrial housing schemes. Lastly fuel, lighting and other items of expenditure should constitute 20 percent of the total Minimum Wage.

While the Government did not accept these recommendations, Supreme Court approved these norms through its judgement in the case of U.Unichoyi v. State of Kerala (AIR 1962 SC 12) and thereby acquiring the force of law behind it. The apex court through its judgement in Workmen v. Reptakos Brett & Co Ltd (AIR 1992 SC 504) added a sixth norm – 25 percent of the total Minimum Wage was supposed to cover children’s education, medical treatment, recreation etc. The Court observed that these six norms would be nothing more than Minimum Wage at “subsistence level” which the workers must get “at all times and under all circumstances”.

Adherence to the six norms, let alone the five norms laid down by the 15th ILC, has been followed in breach. As a "living wage", at current wage rates declared under Minimum Wage Act, comes to Rs 247 per day for unskilled. Rs 32 touted by the Planning Commission as "below poverty line" is less than seven times the Minimum Wage which itself is a "subsistence wage". Thus Minimum Wage is seven times that of BPL rate. What this implies is that mass of our people are being robbed of their right to life by artificial constructions of poverty line. PUDR reiterates that the letter and spirit of Article 43 which forms part of the Directive Principles of State Policy be the basis for providing basic requirement to all citizens of India so that their right to a life of dignity and liberty can be ensured.

Harish Dhawan and Paramjeet Singh
Secretaries PUDR

Sunday, September 25, 2011

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: GLORIOUS STRUGGLE IN MARUTI SUZUKI

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: GLORIOUS STRUGGLE IN MARUTI SUZUKI: Has Manesar Become Suzukiland? IN the midst of the ongoing industrial unrest, caused by premeditated provocative actions by Maruti Suzuki ...

Saturday, September 24, 2011

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: തൊഴിലില്ലായ്മ മൂര്‍ഛിക്കുന്നു

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: തൊഴിലില്ലായ്മ മൂര്‍ഛിക്കുന്നു: സാമ്രാജ്യത്വ ആഗോളവല്‍ക്കരണ അജണ്ടയുടെ ഭാഗമായി ഇന്ത്യയില്‍ പുത്തന്‍ സാമ്പത്തിക ഉദാരവല്‍ക്കരണനയങ്ങള്‍ നടപ്പാക്കപ്പെട്ടു തുടങ്ങിയിട്ട് രണ്ട് പതി...

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: പുതിയ പെന്‍ഷന്‍ പദ്ധതി ഭീകരമായ പകല്‍ക്കൊള്ള

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: പുതിയ പെന്‍ഷന്‍ പദ്ധതി ഭീകരമായ പകല്‍ക്കൊള്ള: തങ്ങളുടെ സാമ്പത്തിക പ്രതിസന്ധിക്ക് പരിഹാരം കാണുന്നതിന് തൊഴിലാളികളുടെ ചോര ഊറ്റിയെടുക്കാന്‍ നവഉദാരവല്‍ക്കരണ സര്‍ക്കാരുകള്‍ പലവിധത്തില്‍ ഗൂഢാലോ...

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: The Union Cabinet gets healthier

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: The Union Cabinet gets healthier: The worse off the poor become, the healthier our Ministers get. Air India might not be doing as well we'd like it to. But the braveheart wh...

Monday, September 19, 2011

: ഹിന്ദി ബെല്‍റ്റില്‍ ഇടതുപക്ഷമുണ്ടോ?A.R.Sindhu

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: ഹിന്ദി ബെല്‍റ്റില്‍ ഇടതുപക്ഷമുണ്ടോ?: കേന്ദ്രസര്‍ക്കാറിന്റെ വാര്‍ഷിക വ്യാവസായിക സ്ഥിതിവിവരകണക്കുകള്‍ പറയുന്നത് സംഘടിത നിര്‍മ്മാണ മേഖലില്‍ ഉല്‍പ്പാദന മൂല്യവര്‍ദ്ധനവിലെ കൂലിവിഹിതം ...

: എന്തുകൊണ്ട് ഇടതുപക്ഷം?Dr.Prabhath Patnaik

വര്‍ക്കേഴ്സ് ഫോറം: എന്തുകൊണ്ട് ഇടതുപക്ഷം?: ഇന്ത്യന്‍ ജനാധിപത്യം തന്നെ ഒരു 'സാമൂഹ്യപരിവര്‍ത്തനത്തി'ന്റെ ഉല്‍പ്പന്നമാണ് കുറച്ചു കാലമായി ഇന്ത്യയില്‍ സുപ്രധാനമായ ഒരു മാറ്റം സംഭവിച്ചുകൊണ...

KARAL MARX WAS RIGHT

Nouriel Roubini, the Man Who Predicted the 2008 Crisis: Marx Was Right, Capitalism Could Destroy Itself

Posted by Brandon Callahan on Aug 13 2011. Filed under Featured News, Politics.

The man that predicted the 2008 crisis, economist Nouriel Roubini, believes that the chance of us experiencing a return to recession is over 50%, and the next two to three months will be decisive for the direction for the world economy.

Currently, the economy is affected by reduced consumption, especially due to reluctance of firms to make new employment and investment to give an impulse to the economy, and almost nothing can be done to improve the situation, said economist Nouriel Roubini in an interview for the Wall Street Journal.

“To deal with large debt you should spend less in both the public and private sectors, to save more, and reduce overtime. Also, to avoid a second recession, bank policies should be more relaxed”, said Roubini.

“There is too much debt, in the private sector and the government. You can’t get out of debt except by saving, by strong economic growth or the dangerous method of inflation”, says Roubini. “But if consumption of population and businesses does not restart , then the risk is to remain in recession”.

“Business does not help the economy, because there are risks. They do not invest because there is excess capacity, not hiring because there is not sufficient demand. Here is the paradox: if you do not hire workers, there is insufficient income for workers, there is not sufficient consumer confidence, there is not enough consumption, there is not enough final demand”, says Roubini.

Capitalism can destroy itself

“The capitalist system is about to enter into a destructive loop, in which each tries to save from, without care for the general interest”, says Roubini.
“In the last 2-3 years the situation has worsened. We had a massive redistribution of income from labor market to capital, from wages to profits, the inequality in income and wealth has increased. The tendency of businesses to spend is reduced than the one of population and companies can afford to save more than the population. Redistribution of income and wealth make the lack of aggregate demand even worse.

Karl Marx was right, at some time, capitalism can destroy itself. You can’t move income from work to capital without having an excess of capacity and a lack of aggregate demand. This is what happens. We thought that markets work, but they don’t. It is a destructive process”, says the economist, who added that, although we’re not at this stage, the risk of a new recession is over 50%.

Bush to blame for the situation of U.S.

The economist believes that blame for the current financial situation of the country lies with George W. Bush. ”When Obama came to power, he inherited a huge budget deficit”, says the economist. “When Bush took over the country, the U.S. had a surplus of $300 billion. How did this happen?

We have reduced taxes in 2001-2003, we spent money on two wars lost just from the beginning, the spending has doubled, we provided benefits and have neglected the supervision of banking system that caused the biggest financial crisis. So there were five factors that have led from a large surplus to a huge deficit. Do not blame Obama. U.S. economic sustainability was destroyed before his coming”, says Roubini.

Riots like those in London could happen anywhere

Roubini argues that the riots as they were in London, can break in any country. “They started in the Middle East because of poverty, unemployment, but the same dissatisfaction exists in Israel and the United Kingdom. These inequalities, the lack of jobs and income, and lack of economic growth can lead to social and political instability in any country. Even in China, where the economy is slowing down and inequality increases. And in the U.S. as well”, Roubini believes.

Economists believe that austerity measures will push the countries even deeper in recession, including Britain, France and USA, which have not yet lost access to markets, but there is immense pressure. Roubini’s short-term solution is to encourage economy through higher deficits, and, for medium and long term, a strategy that promises to reduce indebtedness, as the economy enters a growth cycle.

Roubini keeps his money in cash

The well-known economist prefers to keep his money in cash and avoid risky assets, as he advises his customers. He believes that gold is good investment in times of economic uncertainty, especially because it is an antidote to inflation, although he sees limited risk in this direction.

Short URL: http://www.dailypressdot.com/?p=3251

ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY

The Left in Decline By: Prabhat Patnaik

Vol XLVI No.29 July 16, 2011

Empiricisation or the pursuit of a political praxis that is uninformed by the project of transcending capitalism was ultimately responsible for the defeat of the CPI(M) in West Bengal. It is this empiricisation that is far more worrying than the electiondefeat itself.In a period when many have abandoned the concept of imperialism, the CPI(M) remains steadfast in its adherence to this concept; as long as the concept and the project remain valid, the historical relevance of the party remains unimpaired. But if the party does not arrest the process of empiricisation it has been experiencing and finally ends up accepting the hegemony of bourgeois theory, then it will get supplanted by some other communist formation subscribing to a theoretical position similar to what it has today.

[Non-incriminating thanks are due to Rajendra Prasad, Akeel Bilgrami, Utsa Patnaik, C P Chandrasekhar, Jayati Ghosh and Nishad Patnaik all of whom were kind enough to read through and comment upon an earlier draft of this paper.]

[Prabhat Patnaik (prabhatptnk@yahoo.co.in) recently retired from the Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.]

It is ironical that the very process that has brought about the decline of the CPI(M) is being suggested by many as the panacea for its revival. I shall call this process which has caused the decline, a process of “empiricisation”, by which I mean the pursuit of a political praxis that is uninformed by the project of transcending capitalism. Of course the ripening of a revolutionary situation occurs only sporadically. For long stretches of time therefore the political praxis to be pursued appears mundane and pedestrian, and consti­tutes what B T Ranadive used to call “the small change of politics”. But even “the small change of politics” for a communist party must be informed by the project of transcending capitalism, and when this does not occur we have only “the small change of politics” per se, i e, empiricisation. This process of empiricisation, which is ultimately responsible also for the election defeat in West Bengal, is far more worrying for any Left sympathiser than the election defeat itself, for an election defeat may well get reversed the next time around, but it is much more difficult to reverse a process of empiricisation. Since a necessary condition for a reversal of empiricisation is an awareness of its occurring, I shall concern myself here with a discussion of this process. This may also help to prevent further deliberate empiricisation in a desperate bid for rejuvenation.

What distinguishes a communist party is not that it does not “soil its hands” with mundane, empirical, everyday politics (that would be barren ultra-Leftism), but that its process of engagement even with politics at this level is imbricated by its project of transcending capitalism, informed by a consciousness of what Lukacs (1924) had called “the actuality of the revo­lution”. To be animated by the “actuality of the revolution” does not mean to believe that the revolution is around the corner; it only means that the engagement with the “small change of politics” is on the basis of a theory that spans the entire distance b­etween quotidienne politics and the project of transcending capitalism. If this theory linking the “here and now” to the overall project of transcendence is absent from the praxis engaged in “here and now”, then we have a process of empiricisation of the movement.

Four Tendencies Arising from Empiricisation

Such empiricisation in the context of our polity gives rise to at least four kinds of tendencies: first, it gives rise to the range of “sins” attributed to the party by its opponents, and even mentioned in the self-critical documents of the party itself as afflicting it at various levels, such as c­areerism, “satrapism”, bureaucratism, and bossism at local level. Second, it gives rise to a tendency to “adjust” to given situations to prevent losses, instead of carrying it forward as a part of revolutionary praxis. This in turn entails a process of alienation of the party from the “basic classes” that it is supposed to struggle for, viz, the workers, peasants, agricultural labourers, and the rural poor. The “party’s interests” are seen in isolation from, and as being d­istinct from, the interests of the basic classes, and for the defence of the “party’s i­nterests” immediate, “here and now” measures are thought of and resorted to, which may well diverge from the interests of the basic classes. Third, empiricisation leads to a shrinking of the distance between the communist party and the other political formations.

All this has been visible for some time now, including especially in West Bengal where the alienation of the CPI(M) from the basic classes (especially the peasantry) led to its electoral defeat after 34 years of Left Front rule. But the fourth feature of empiricisation, a basic one, is that it tends to produce further empiricisation, giving rise to a dialectic. And if the process is a­llowed to continue unchecked, then it leads eventually to the party’s being hegemonised by the ideology of capitalism, to its rejection of the concept of imperialism which underlay the original split in the Second International and the very formation of the communist movement, and to a virtual disappearance of the difference between the communists and other political formations. At that point, even if the communists (or whatever other name they choose to call themselves by, at that date) win elections and form governments on their own, it makes little substantive difference either to the project of transcendence of capitalism or even to the conditions of the basic classes.

Two caveats are in order here. First, the CPI(M), though launched on this process of empiricisation, is still far from any such dire scenario. Its empiricisation therefore must not be overstressed. The very fact that it pulled out its support from the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government on the Indo-US Nuclear Deal, even though such pulling out damaged its “party interests” in an immediate sense, and evoked criticism even from its self-confessed well-wishers like Amartya Sen, shows paradoxically the degree to which it still remains free of empiricisation. The point is not whether it handled the entire episode of the nuclear deal well; it certainly did not. But the point is that on an issue which it perceived as being linked to imperialist hegemony over the country, it did not put any “party interest” above what it saw as the class interests of the “basic classes”. This fact underscores the extent of its freedom from empiricisation. Likewise the fact that at this very moment, thousands of party cadre in West Bengal are facing the most severe repression for the “sin” of remaining committed to the cause that the party stands for, underscores the vitality of the party. The fact that this vitality has not been snapped as yet by going too far down the road of empiricisation.

Second, this process of empiricisation is, if anything, even more pronounced in the case of the other segments of the Left, especially those who claim to be to the left of the CPI(M). Some of them have even gone to the extent of joining the “anti-­corruption” movement of Anna Hazare which epistemologically substitutes itself for “the people” (and does not just theoretically argue for positions which it perceives to be in the people’s ­interests), without any mandate from the latter; and claims superiority over the body which does actually have, under the terms of the Constitution, mandate from the people, namely Parliament; and thereby undermines the democratic ­order to push to the forefront a “chosen few”. (The Maoists no doubt are a separate category; but, chasing a will-o’-the-wisp in the jungles of central India, they have taken themselves, paradoxically, out of any mainstream a­nti-imperialist revolutionary project.)

2

The question that naturally arises is: why did such empiricisation occur in the ranks of the Left, and in particular of the CPI(M)? Some would argue that this is an inevitable outcome of parliamentary politics, but that is a complete non sequitur. Revolutionary politics, as Lenin always emphasised, thrives best when the revolutionary forces have complete freedom of operation, which is why bourgeois formations are forever trying to roll back the freedom of operation, that comes with parliamentary democracy, for the political formations that speak for “basic classes”. The role of the Left therefore, far from shunning parliamentary democracy, must be both to participate in its institutions and to struggle for a deepening of their democratic content. This has been so much a part of Marxist understanding that no less a revolutionary than Rosa Luxemburg had actually wanted her party to participate in the parliamentary elections in Germany, and had not been in favour of the Spartacist uprising (though Karl Liebknecht had been); but she had been outvoted and had consequently led the uprising along with Liebknecht, in the course of which both were murdered.

To see empiricisation as the inevitable outcome of participating in parliamentary politics not only lacks theoretical validity, but represents a form of fetishism. Karl Marx in Capital had talked of “commodity fetishism”, where social relations were perceived as relations between things, and the origin of surplus value was located in some mystical properties of the things constituting means of production. Here we have a situation where mystical powers are being attributed to parliamentary institutions per se.

Revisionist Theoretical Understanding

One obvious cause for such empiricisation that Marxist theory has always emphasised is of course the development of a r­evisionist theoretical understanding. The material basis of such a development has also been much discussed in the Marxist literature, and has been typically located in the fact that a section of the working class becomes a beneficiary of the fruits of imperialist exploitation.

In Margarethe Von Trotta’s 1986 film Rosa Luxemburg there is a telling scene that captures the tendency towards empiricisation. The e­ntire social democratic leadership of G­ermany is sitting around a lunch table and Karl Kautsky tells Rosa Luxemburg, who was then engaged, along with Clara Zetkin and Franz Mehring, in a struggle to uphold the revolutionary tradition of the party: “Rosa, why don’t you ­involve yourself more in the women’s question?” The unspoken part of Kautsky’s question obviously is: “why do you bother about issues of imperialism and revolution?” We have here a double empiricisation: the “women’s question” is sought to be empiricisd by being detached from the overall revolutionary movement, and an outstanding revolutionary is being asked to submerge herself in something that is so detached from the revolutionary movement.

But when there is no obvious change in the theoretical understanding of a party, and no obvious material basis, of the sort emphasised by Lenin and others (viz, the improved material condition of a section of the “basic classes” made possible through the “super-exploitation” of o­thers), that could be adduced as causing such a change in theoretical understanding, then the phenomenon of empiricisation still r­emains to be explained. One circumstance that does induce such empiricisation is when the popular movement reaches a plateau, when it stagnates. Stagnation gives rise to the apprehension that there may be a slideback; to prevent such a slideback all sorts of temporary expedients are resorted to which mark the beginning of empiricisation, but such empiricisation contributes further to the stagnation of the movement, causing further r­esort to empiricisation, and thereby setting up, as mentioned e­arlier, a dialectic of empiricisation.

Such a dialectic is illustrated by a story about Czechoslovakia in 1968. During the “Prague Spring”, when Alexander Dubcek’s group was having discussions with the representatives of the Soviet Union (prior to Dubcek’s removal by the Soviets), they pointed out that “Prague Spring” should not be blighted since it would have a remarkable impact on the Left movement in western Europe. To this the Soviet representatives’ reply was: “Don’t talk nonsense, there is no possibility of any expansion of the Left in western Europe!”.1 Dubcek’s removal certainly eliminated any residual possibility of an expansion of the Left in western Europe. The process of empiricisation in the Soviet Union was itself a response to the stagnation of the Left in western Europe, and it consisted in consolidating its hold on whatever it controlled in eastern Europe without “risking” any “Prague Springs”. But this served precisely to reinforce further the stagnation of the Left in western Europe.

CPI(M)’s Situation

The CPI(M) has been in a somewhat similar situation. Its strength has remained confined to just a few regions of the country. In these regions too the base it has was created through struggles undertaken during the 1930s and the 1940s, and though there has been a subsequent expansion of this base (otherwise it would not have got the massive electoral support it did in the three states it ruled), that expansion has also reached a plateau. Its primary response to this stagnation has been to consolidate, the way it sees best, what it already has; and this fact itself has contributed to its stagnation. For instance, its attempt to pursue “industrialisation” in West Bengal in a bid to consolidate itself there by preventing possible middle class alienation from it, which it sees as essential in a context where the party is not growing elsewhere, has actually also stood in the way of the party’s growth elsewhere. Its capacity to take up peasant struggles against land alienation, which is the principal issue of struggle all over the country at present, has been hamstrung by its loss of credibility because of incidents like Singur.

But while stagnation may tend to induce empiricisation, both stagnation and empiricisation cannot be dissociated from the broader international context within which the CPI(M) has had to operate. The collapse of the Soviet Union has dealt a massive blow to the socialist project; and even though the CPI(M), as a disciplined party, has not suffered in terms of an erosion in its ranks, the damage to the core of its inner convictions is undeniable. The natural tendency has been to repose faith in China despite all misgivings about the trajectory it is following; and the remarkable economic “success” of China has bolstered such faith. In the process, however, the party which once had the courage to take on ideologically both the Soviet U­nion and China, because, respectively, of their Right and Left deviations, has been remarkably reticent in expressing any rese­r­­vations in public (notwithstanding per­vasive private reservations) about China’s development from a socialist perspective. What is more, China’s apparent “success” has created a tendency within the party for accepting economic policies, such as providing incentives to corporate capital in states where it is in power, which would have been anathema some years ago. I­ndeed, within the overall context of the collapse of the Soviet Union, the most potent factor behind the empiricisation of the party has been the influence of the C­hinese example.

3

There has been an additional factor at work as well. And this relates to the fact that in communist literature, the question “what after land reforms?” has not received as satisfactory an answer as it requires. Lenin’s classic formulation in Two Tactics of Social Democracy which had been written in the Russian context but had provided the theoretical foundation for communist practice in the 20th century in countries, where the bourgeoisie arrived late on the historical scene, ran as follows:

The proletariat must carry the democratic revolution to completion, allying to itself the mass of the peasantry in order to crush the autocracy’s resistance by force and paralyse the bourgeoisie’s instability. The proletariat must accomplish the socialist revolution, allying to itself the mass of the semi-­proletarian elements of the population, so as to crush the bourgeoisie’s resistance by force and paralyse the instability of the peasantry and the petty bourgeoisie (1977, 494).

While the first part of the statement was clearly understood and implemented by third world communist revolutionary movements, the transition from the first to the second, when it should occur, what should be the correlation of class forces to be aimed at, what in particular should be the attitude of the socialist revolution to the peasantry, remained vexed questions. From the episode of collectivisation in the Soviet Union (even if one accepts that there was no alternative to it at the time because of kulak resistance) to the Great Leap Forward in China (even if one believes that the problem with the Great Leap was not that it was conceptually wrong but that its timing turned out to be unfortunate), this second stage of the transition is where problems have arisen, derailing, in each instance, the entire s­ocialist project.

What after Agrarian Reforms?

If this problem, of how do we follow up the initial breakthrough by way of carrying forward the democratic revolution through agrarian reforms, has vexed the communist revolutionary project, it has by no means been absent even in cases like India where the Left has led state governments within an overall bourgeois order. Since the proletariat proper, consisting of production workers in the modern sector of the economy, has typically been too small in such states, the slogan of industrialisation, even on the basis of reliance on large private corporate capital, has tended to gather momentum, and this in turn has given rise, at the conceptual level, to a “stage theory”: let us follow up land reforms by developing capitalism first, and at the next stage we shall think of socialism.

A stage theory, however, is a direct theoretical expression of the process of empiricisation. This may appear odd at first sight: many would even consider the Marxist theory of history itself to be an example of “stage theory”. But this is erroneous, since Marxism does not just describe “stages” or divide history into different stages corresponding to different modes of production but seeks to explain the d­ynamics of history, the transition, if at all, from one stage to another.2

More pertinently, it may be thought that the project of building capitalism does after all link the “here and now” to the revolution, since it is sustained by a perception of the revolution. But this is wrong: the building of capitalism requires a suppression of the basic classes, while the transcendence of capitalism requires an activation of the basic classes. The presumption behind a stage theory approach, if it is adopted by the communists therefore, is that at some point the very same party which presides over the suppression of the basic classes will suddenly and mysteriously start doing the exact opposite, and that the basic classes will follow it in either case, which is absurd. The party that presides over the building of capitalism will end up being no different from standard bourgeois parties; notwithstanding its lip service to the revolution therefore, building capitalism, like what any other bourgeois party tries to do, is an instance of empiricisation.

Forces Pushing Empiricisation

It follows that there are powerful forces in the current situation that push the Left t­owards empiricisation. The Left has to resist this push; it has to overcome empiricisation if the socialist project is to be carried forward. It must not only carry out struggles on the burning issues of the day wherever it can, undeterred by the empiricisation-dictated tactics of defending Left-led state governments whom such struggles may embarrass or threaten, but it must, even while running such state governments, ensure to the best of its ability that new ways are always innovated to advance the interests of the basic classes, to improve their material conditions so that their capacity to resist increases. All this is not easy, but the Left has to come to terms with this problem; and I believe, based on my reading of the Kerala LDF experience, that it is possible for the Left to come to terms with it.

4

What it must not do, however, is to pay heed to the friendly advice that is emanating from many quarters that it should get further empiricised in order to improve its position. There are two kinds of suggestions that have typically been advanced. The first states that the Left should b­ecome “social-democratic”, by which presumably is meant a dropping of its concept of imperialism, and hence by inference, an acceptance of the view that a humane society, which does not oppress other countries and peoples, is compatible with capitalism. This first suggestion amounts in short to asking the Left to abandon its entire transformational project.

Abandon the Basic Classes?

Now, if imperialism as a category did not actually exist, and was a mere figment of the Left’s imagination, the adherence to which was preventing the Left from fighting for the interests of the basic classes, then this advice would make eminent sense. But such advice is offered, not on the basis of any argument that imperialism does not exist, but on the grounds that the Left would “grow” if it abandoned such baggage. This is nothing else but empiricisation: it amounts to saying that to serve its own “party interests” the Left should abandon the interests of the basic classes it is supposed to represent, who are everywhere getting squeezed by the neo-liberal policies imposed by inter­national finance capital which constitutes the core of contemporary imperialism. This would amount in short to a self-­obliterating act on the part of the Left as Left, no matter what electoral dividends it brings in its wake.

The second suggestion talks of an Indian Left outside of the large communist parties, which together with progressive civil society groups that are taking up ­particular local issues in various parts of the country, can constitute an “Indian New Left” that can carry forward popular move­ments. Some versions of it visualise the inclusion of communists other than the CPI(M) in such a coalition; others may be “generous” enough to include even the CPI(M) provided it drops some of its s­pecific characteristics. Now, a common feature of virtually all such groups that are supposed to constitute the core of the ­so-called “Indian New Left” is that they do not accept the category of imperialism. They may recognise and be opposed to specific “imperialist” acts like the invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan, or the bombing of Libya, but they do not see ­imperialism as a structural characteristic of capitalism.

The practical necessity for the transcendence of capitalism has been argued over the last hundred years on the basis of this structural characteristic of capitalism. A theoretical abandonment of this concept, for which, I repeat, no argument has been advanced, is tantamount to an abandonment of the project of transcending capitalism. It entails being incorporated within the system, fighting no doubt on behalf of the people on specific issues, but leaving its overall structure intact. It amounts, even in theory, to fighting merely for reforms within capitalism, and not for socialism.

Question of Capitalism vs Socialism

It may of course be thought that socialism is a pie in the sky, while fighting for reforms is a concrete means for improving the conditions of the people. For instance a movement for the advancement of the dalits, or for improving the condition of women can achieve much, without necessarily getting embroiled in questions of capitalism versus socialism. But this is an erroneous impression. Any improvement in the condition of rural women or any d­ecisive blow against the caste system requires a breaking up of the old pre-capitalist “community”. Capitalism historically had done precisely that in its metropolitan base and the socialist project entailed the coming into being of a new “community” that is voluntarily entered into and is based on the position of individuals, ­uprooted from their original habitats, in the new production process that comes into being. But capitalism in our country, notwithstanding its apparently vigorous development, is failing precisely to break the old “community” because of its incapacity to absorb the individuals uprooted from their traditional habitats into a new proletariat, thanks to the phenomenon of “jobless growth”. This is the reason high growth rates coexist with khap panchayats; and as long as institutions like khap panchayats exist, the fetters upon the social advance of dalits or women will remain strong, which is why capitalism versus socialism remains as v­ital a question today as it ever was.3

Everybody, of course, is free to choose his or her political praxis and some may choose to be reformists without any ­pro­ject of transcending capitalism. But this, according to Marxist theory is erroneous praxis, not because one is ordained to desire socialism, but because no amount of fight for reforms can possibly make capitalism into a humane society, a proposition whose invalidity to my mind has not yet been established.

In a period when large numbers of people have abandoned the concept of imperialism, from “paid hirelings” of finance capital, to many western Marxists, to ­“official” spokesmen in China, to even third world intellectuals in countries like India, who willy-nilly are dazzled by the so-called high growth rates that have brought palpable benefits to the middle class, the CPI(M) remains steadfast in its adherence to this concept and hence to the entire project of transcendence, intellectually built around it by Lenin and others. As long as the concept and the project remain valid, the historical relevance of the CPI(M) remains unimpaired. And if perchance the party does not arrest the pro­cess of empiricisation it has been experiencing, and finally ends up accepting the hegemony of bourgeois theory, then it will get supplanted by some other communist formation subscribing to a theoretical p­osition similar to what it has today. But no coalition of reformist forces, no matter how well-meaning and serious, can possibly replace the communists as defenders of the interests of the basic classes. All this however does not preclude their working together on common issues.

Notes

1 This was narrated by an exiled member of Dubcek’s team at a meeting of the Tawney Group (of Left faculty members) in Cambridge, UK, in the early 1970s where I had been present.

2 For a critique of stage theory from a Marxist perspective, see the review of W W Rostow’s book The Stages of Economic Growth by Baran and Hobsbawm (1961).

3 For an elaboration of this argument see Patnaik (2011).

References

Baran, P A and E J Hobsbawm (1961): “The Stages of Economic Growth”, Kyklos, May.

Lenin, V I (1977): Selected Works (in Three Volumes), Volume 1 (Moscow: Progress Publishers).

Lukacs, Georg (1924): Lenin: A Study of the Unity of His Thought, re-published by New Left Books, London, 1970.

Patnaik, P (2011): “Globalisation and Social Progress”, Social Scientist, January-February.